Everything would be wonderful if Alberta and Saskatchewan separated from Canada, they say. They’d have billions of dollars, they say. And B.C. would let them build a pipeline for port access (insert record scratch here).
Sure, it probably wouldn’t be all wonderful and it probably wouldn’t be all horrible (I’m unconvinced of the latter). However, let’s look at some of the possibilities;
- The billions only follow if the wealthy people stay and agree to pay the same tax rates.
Albersask’s tax rate would have to be at least 37% in order to keep those “billions we pay in equalization” for the treasury.
Those billions don’t actually belong to “Alberta” – they belong to the people who make the money; and if those people don’t want to support retired Maritimers or underprivileged Quebecers, they probably don’t want to support Albertans who aren’t contributing to the GDP either.
- B.C. will let you build a port.
There’s a slightly Machiavellian feel to this one. Something about how if you aren’t subject to Canadian laws, you can shut off the taps without reprisal. Except you want a port.
B.C. can import oil and gas through its coast and also through pipelines from Washington. Is this what the Wexiteers consider a win?
- No Flames, no Oilers, and Saskatchewan has no team to play with.
Sure, we’d still be part of the nation, that is North America, but would two of our favourite hockey teams bother to stay in a third country if Wexit happens? Worst-case scenario, they stay and every game is the battle of Albersask… and it gets boring pretty quickly.
- Immigration – Albersask needs a lot.
Saskatchewan has managed to grow its population by around 140,000 over the last 60 years. That is not a typo.
Even though the province welcomes more than 10,000 babies each year, 600,000 (though it’s probably closer to a million), since 1960 – more than two-thirds of the native-born Saskatchewanians – refuse to live there.
So, Albersask either needs a giant wall to keep them in, or be willing to open its borders to massive immigration. Who’s in??
- What’s in a mortgage?
Where is your mortgage? Your savings? Your investments? Are they with your local Credit Union or Alberta Treasury Branch? If not, when the Canadian financial institution has to pick up its Eastern-owned pennies and leave, they might just demand your mortgage in full – or own your house. Actually, since your house won’t be worth anywhere near near what you paid for it – they’ll probably figure out a way to let you keep making payments.
- Your money is only worth as much as other people say it is.
Here’s the tricky part: you want to turn off the taps to B.C. to force them to build you a pipeline, which will make it near impossible to sell your oil – your main commodity.
You want to use the Canadian dollar but you’re sucking the worth out of it by rejecting all the other industries that contribute to Canada.
You’re willing to use the American dollar, yet… if your oil isn’t flowing the differential is growing.
In the end, Canada doesn’t want the risk, the U.S. thinks you’re too much of a liability, so, you introduce Ralph bucks but they aren’t worth jack outside of Albersask and you completely Venezuela yourself.
- Treaty 8 (aka Where the Oil is)
I like to think Wexiteers have learned more about Treaty land than most in their adult years. First Nations are not flocking to Wexit in the numbers originally expected. In a statement released last Tuesday, Treaty 8 Grand Chief Arthur Noskeye said: “Treaty 8 holds the third-largest resource of bitumen in the world. Perhaps Albertans should work together with us on a strategic approach to change the way the Alberta government does business whereby everyone benefits from this industry.”
That’s a third-degree burn, ‘Berta.
What if they wouldn’t let us play in the CFL? Do we really want a rotating schedule between Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatchewan? More importantly, would they stick around and let us watch?
We need answers!
- NO MORE CBC!
Also, no more federally-funded local publications. Do you know who funds your local paper? It’s probably the feds and every business within 50k. We might want to prepare for a resurgence of the Blackfalds Spotlight-eque town newsletters.
- International Student Status
Your kids will be relegated to the UofS, UofA, UofL and UofC, Mount Royal, RDC, Lethbridge College, Med Hat College, Lakeland College, NAIT, SAIT, Keyano College etc – which are all accredited institutions in Canada.. who knows if Albersask accreditation will hold weight.
B.C., Ontario, Quebec, Nova Scotia and all the rest will require international student status and that comes with a price tag – generally double or triple what residents pay. Granted, you’ll pay more if your kids attend those institutions anyway, because they aren’t residents, but not as much as international students. No biggie for people who are paying $15k for kindergarten, but might be a big deal for those who aren’t.
These are only some of the issues (or benefits) that I could think of with little to no research. Commentary welcome; snark appreciated.
This post is an opinion.
Deirdre is a reporter, pundit, podcaster, and full-wit political observer raising four independent thinkers in rural Alberta.
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Twitter: @Mitchell_AB for all the commentary; @thisweekinAB for posts; @politicalRnD to guess “who tweeted that”?
Categories: Alberta Politics